Lecture 102 of 135 · Man, Economy, and State, with Power and Market
11.06. The Supply of Money
11.06. The Supply of Money by Murray N. Rothbard is a free audio lecture (32:25) at freecapitalists.org, recorded 21 October 2011, part of the 135-lecture series Man, Economy, and State, with Power and Market.
Austrian Economics OverviewMoney and BankingPolitical TheoryMoney and Banks
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0:006. The Supply of Money a. The Stock of the Money Commodity The total stock of money in a society is the total number of ounces of the money commodity available. Throughout this volume we have deliberately used gold ounces instead of dollars or any other name for money, Precisely because on the free market the latter would only be a confusing term for units of weight of gold or silver. The total stock from one period to another will increase from new production and decrease from being used up, either in industrial production as a non-monetary factor or from the wear and tear of coins.
0:53Since one of the qualities of the money commodity is its durability, the usual tendency is a long-run increase in the money supply and a resulting gradual long-run decline in the PPM. This furthers social utility only insofar as more gold or silver is made available for non-monetary purposes. We saw in Chapter 3 that the physical form of the monetary commodity makes no difference. It can be in non-monetary use as jewelry, in the form of bars of bullion, or in the form of coins. On the free market, transforming gold from one shape to another would be a business, like any other business, charging a market price for its service and earning a pure interest return in the ERE.
1:48Since gold begins as bullion and ends as coin, it would seem that the latter would command a small premium over the equivalent weight of the former, the bullion often being a capital good for coin. Sometimes however, coins are re-melted back into bullion for larger transactions, so that a premium for coin over bullion is not a certainty. If, as generally happens, minting coins costs more than melting, coins will command the equivalent premium over bullion. This premium is called brassage. It is impossible for economics to predict the details of the structure of any market.
2:34The market for privately issued gold bars or coins might develop as homogeneous, like Like the market for wheat, or the coins might be stamped and branded by the coin makers to certify to the quality of their product. Probably the public would buy only branded coins to ensure accurate quality. One argument against permitting free private coinage is that compulsory standardization of the denominations of coins is more convenient than the diversity of coins that would ensue B. Claims to Money, The Money Warehouse Chapter 2 described the difference between claims to present goods and claims to future goods.
3:45The same analysis applies to money as to barter. A claim to future money is a bill of exchange, an evidence of a credit transaction. The holder of the bill, the creditor, redeems it at the date of redemption in exchange for money paid by the debtor. A claim to present money, however, is a completely different good. It is not the evidence of an uncompleted transaction, an exchange of a present for a future good, as is the bill. It is a simple evidence of ownership of a present good. It is not uncompleted or an exchange on the time market. Therefore, to present this evidence for redemption is not the completion of a transaction or equivalent to a creditor's calling his loan, it is a simple repossessing of a man's own good.
4:43In Chapter 2, we gave as examples of a claim to present goods, warehouse receipts, and shares of stock. Shares of stock, however, cannot be redeemed in parts of a company's fixed assets because of the rules of ownership that the companies themselves set up in their cooperative venture. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that such assets will have a fixed money value. We shall therefore confine ourselves to warehouse receipts, which are also more relevant to the supply of money. When a man deposits goods at a warehouse, he is given a receipt and pays the owner of the warehouse a certain sum for the service of storage.
5:31He still retains ownership of the property. The owner of the warehouse is simply guarding it for him. When the warehouse receipt is presented, the owner is obligated to restore the good deposited. A warehouse specializing in money is known as a bank. Claims to goods are often treated on the market as equivalent to the goods themselves. If no fraud or theft is suspected, then evidence of ownership of a good in a warehouse is considered as equivalent to the good itself. In many cases, individuals will find it advantageous to exchange the claims or evidences. The Goods Substitutes rather than the goods themselves.
6:20Paper is more convenient to transfer from person to person, and the expense of moving the goods is eliminated. When Jones sells Smith his wheat, therefore, instead of moving the wheat from one place to another, they may well agree simply to transfer the warehouse receipt itself from Jones to Smith. The goods remain in the same warehouse until Smith needs them, or until the receipt is transferred to someone else. Of course, Smith may prefer for one reason or another to keep the goods in his own warehouse, in which case they are moved from one to the other. Let us take the case of a warehouse owned by the trustee warehouse company.
7:06It holds various goods in its vaults for safekeeping. It is known that this company has developed a reputation for being very reliable and theft-free. Consequently, people tend to leave their goods in the trustee warehouse for a considerable length of time. And in the case of goods that they do not use frequently, will even tend to transfer the goods certificates, the warehouse receipts, or evidences of ownership of the goods, and not redeem the goods themselves. Suppose the goods certificates act as goods substitutes in exchange. Suppose that the trustee company sees this happening. It realizes that a good opportunity for fraud presents itself.
7:53It can take the depositor's goods, the goods that it holds for safekeeping, and lend them out to people on the market. It can earn interest on these loans, and as long as only a small percentage of depositors ask to redeem their certificates at any one time, no one is the wiser. Or, alternatively, it can issue pseudo-warehouse receipts for goods that are not there, and lend these on the market. This is the more subtle practice. The pseudo-receipts will be exchanged on the market on the same basis as the true receipts, since there is no indication on their face whether they are legitimate or not. It should be clear that this practice is outright fraud.
8:40Someone else's property is taken by the warehouse and used for its own money-making purposes. It is not borrowed, since no interest is paid for the use of the money, or if spurious warehouse receipts are printed, evidences of goods are issued and sold or loaned without any such goods being in existence. Money is the good most susceptible to these practices. For money, as we have seen, is generally not used directly at all, but only for exchanges. It is, furthermore, a widely homogeneous good, and therefore one ounce of gold is interchangeable with any other.
9:25Since it is convenient to transfer paper in exchange rather than carry gold, money warehouses or banks that build up public confidence will find that few people redeem their certificates. The banks will be particularly subject to the temptation to commit fraud and issue pseudo money certificates to circulate side by side with genuine money certificates as acceptable money substitutes. The fact that money is a homogeneous good means that people do not care whether the Fraud is a harsh term, but an accurate one, to describe this practice, even if not recognized as such in the law or by those committing it.
10:20It is in fact difficult to see the economic or moral difference between the issuance of of Pseudo-receipts and the appropriation of someone else's property or outright embezzlement, or more directly, counterfeiting. Most present legal systems do not outlaw this practice. In fact, it is considered basic banking procedure, yet the libertarian law of the free market would have to prohibit it. The purely free market is, by definition, one where theft and fraud, implicit theft, are illegal and do not exist. To part with goods or money held in trust or to issue spurious warehouse receipts is of course a dangerous business, even when the law permits it.
11:10If the warehouse once failed to meet its contractual obligations, its fraud would be discovered, and a general panic run on the warehouse or bank would ensue. It would then be quickly plunged into bankruptcy. Such a bankruptcy, however, would not be similar to the failure of an ordinary speculative business enterprise. It is rather similar to the absconder who gets caught before he has returned the funds he has borrowed. Even if the receipt does not say on its face that the warehouse guarantees to keep it in in its vaults, such an agreement is implicit in the very issuance of the receipt. For it is obvious that if any pseudo-receipts are issued, it immediately becomes impossible for the bank to redeem all of them, and therefore fraud is immediately being committed.
12:07If a bank has 20 pounds of gold in its vaults, owned by depositors, and gold certificates The notes to the value of 10 pounds are fraudulent. Which particular receipts are fraudulent can be determined only after a run on the bank has occurred and the later claimants are left unsatisfied. In a purely free market where fraud cannot by definition occur, all bank receipts will will be genuine, that is, will represent only actual gold or silver in the vaults. In that case, all the bank's money substitutes, warehouse receipts, will also be money certificates, that is, each receipt genuinely certifies the actual existence of the money in its vaults.
13:02The amount of gold kept in bank vaults for redemption purposes is called its reserves, and the policy of issuing only genuine receipts is therefore a policy of 100% reserves of cash to demand liabilities, liabilities that must be paid on demand. Time deposits are legally future claims since banks have a legal right to delay payment 30 days. Moreover, they do not pass as final media of exchange. The latter fact is not determining, however, since a secure claim to a money substitute is itself part of the money supply. Idle cash balances are kept as time deposits, just as gold bullion is a more idle form of money than coins.
13:56The deciding factor, perhaps, is that the 30-day limit is virtually a dead letter, for or if a savings bank should impose it, a bankrupting run on the bank would ensue. Furthermore, actual payments are sometimes made by cashier's checks on time deposits. Thus, time deposits now function as demand deposits and should be treated as part of the money supply. If banks wished to act as genuine savings banks, borrowing and lending credit, they could issue If you do IOUs for specified lengths of time due at definite future dates, then no confusion or possible counterfeiting could arise.
14:45However, the term reserve is a misleading one, because it assumes that the bank owns the gold and independently decides how much of it to keep on hand. Actually, it is not the bank that owns the gold, but its depositors. Such items as bills of lading, pawn tickets and dock warrants have been warehouse receipts rooted in the specific objects deposited, in contrast to the loose, general deposits where a homogeneous good can be returned. An enormous literature has developed dealing with the physical form of the money receipts, And yet the physical form is of no economic importance.
15:31It may be in the form of a paper note, a token coin, essentially a note stamped on coin instead of paper, or a book credit, demand deposit, in the bank. The demand deposit is not tangibly held by the owner, but can be transferred to anyone he desires by written order to the bank. This order is called a check. The depositor has a choice of which form of receipt to take according to his convenience. Which form he chooses makes no economic difference. C. Money Substitutes and the Supply of Money Since money substitutes exchange as money on the market, we must consider them as part of the supply of money.
16:23It then becomes necessary to distinguish between money in the broader sense, the common medium of exchange, and money proper. Money proper is the ultimate medium of exchange, or standard money, here the money commodity, while the supply of money in a broader sense includes all the standard money plus the money substitutes that are held in individual's cash balances. In the cases cited earlier, gold was the money proper, or standard money, while the receipts, the demand claims to gold, were the money substitutes. The relation between these elements may be illustrated as follows.
17:09Assume a community of three persons, A, B, C, and three money warehouses, X, Y, Z. Suppose Suppose that each person has 100 ounces of gold in his possession and none on deposit at a warehouse. For the community, then, the total supply of money proper equals 300 ounces, As plus Bs plus Cs. The total supply of money substitutes equals 0 ounces. So the total supply of money in the broader sense equals 300 ounces. The total supply of money is here identical with the total supply of money proper.
17:58Now assume that A and B each deposits his 100 ounces of gold at warehouses X and Y respectively, while C keeps his gold on hand. The total supply of money is always equal to the total of individual cash balances. Its composition now is A. 100 ounces of X money substitute, B. 100 ounces of Y money substitute, C. 100 ounces of gold money proper. Total supply of money in the broader sense equals total cash balances equals 200 ounces of money substitutes plus 100 ounces of money proper.
18:48The effect of the deposit of money proper in the warehouses or banks is to change the composition of the total supply of money in cash balances. The total amount, however, remains unchanged at 300 ounces. Money substitutes of various banks have replaced most of the standard money in individual cash holdings. Similarly, if A and B were to redeem their deposits, the total amount would remain unchanged, while the composition would revert to the original pattern. What of the 200 ounces of gold deposited in the vaults of the banks? These are no longer part of the money supply.
19:33They are held in reserve against the outstanding money substitutes. While in reserve, they form no part of any individual's cash balance. The cash balances consist not of the gold, but of evidences of ownership of the gold. Only the money proper outside of bank reserves forms part of individual's cash balances and hence part of the community's supply of money. Thus, as long as all money substitutes are full money certificates, an increase or decrease in the money substitutes outstanding can have no effect on the total supply of money.
20:18Only the composition of that supply is affected, and such changes in composition are of no economic importance. However, when banks are legally permitted to abandon a 100% reserve and to issue pseudo-receipts, the economic effects are quite different. We may call the money substitutes that are not genuine money certificates, uncovered Money Substitutes, since they do not genuinely represent money. The issue of uncovered money substitutes adds to individuals' cash balances and hence, to the total supply of money. Uncovered money substitutes are not offset by new money deposits, and so constitute net additions to the total supply.
21:12Any increase or decrease in the supply of uncovered money substitutes increases or decreases, to the same extent, the total supply of money in the broader sense. Thus the total supply of money is composed of the following elements, supply of money Proper Outside Reserves Plus Supply of Money Certificates Plus Supply of Uncovered Money Substitutes The supply of money certificates has no effect on the size of the supply of money. An increase in this factor only decreases the size of the first factor. The supply of money proper and the factors determining its size have already been discussed.
22:03It depends on annual production compared to annual wear and tear, and thus, on the unhampered market, the supply of money proper changes only slowly. As for uncovered money substitutes, since they are essentially a phenomenon of the hampered rather than the free market, factors governing their supply will be further discussed in Chapter 12. In the meanwhile, however, let us analyze a little further the difference between a 100% reserve and a fractional reserve bank. The Star Bank, let us suppose, is a 100% reserve bank. It is established with 100 gold ounces of capital invested by its stockholders in building and equipment.
22:56In the familiar balance sheet with assets on the left hand side and liabilities and capital on the right hand side, the condition of the bank now appears as follows. Star Bank assets, equipment, 100 ounces, liabilities, capital, 100 ounces. The Star Bank is ready to begin operations. Several people now come and deposit gold in the bank, which in return issues warehouse receipts giving the depositors, the true owners of the gold, the right to redeem their property on demand at any time. Let us assume that after a few months, 5,000 gold ounces have been deposited and stored in the bank's vaults.
23:44Its balance sheet now appears as follows, Star Bank Assets, Gold, 5000 oz., Equipment, 100 oz., Total, 5100 oz., Liabilities, Warehouse Receipts, 5000 oz., Capital, 100 oz., Total, 5100 oz. The warehouse receipts function and exchange as money substitutes, replacing, not adding to, the gold stored in the bank. All the warehouse receipts are money certificates, 100% reserve has been maintained and no invasion of the free market has occurred.
24:31The warehouse receipts may take the form of printed tickets, notes, or book credit, demand Deposits transferable by written order or check. The two are economically identical. But now suppose that law enforcement is lax, and the bank sees that it can make money easily by engaging in fraud, that is, by lending some of the depositor's gold, or rather issuing pseudo-warehouse receipts for non-existent gold and lending them to people who wish to To Borrow It We might ask why the owners of the bank do not really reap the spoils and lend the money to themselves. The answer is that they once did so profusely, as the history of early American banking shows.
25:22Legal regulations forced the banks to abandon this practice. Let us say that the Star Bank, chafing at the mere interest return earned on its fees for Warehouse Service prints 1,000 ounces of pseudo warehouse receipts and lends them on the credit market to businesses and consumers who desire to borrow money. The balance sheet of the Star Bank is now as follows. Star Bank Assets Gold 5,000 ounces IOUs from Debtors 1,000 ounces Equipment 100 oz. Total 6100 oz. Liabilities Warehouse receipts 6000 oz. Capital 100 oz. Total 6100 oz.
26:13The warehouse receipts still function as money substitutes on the market, and we see that new money has been created by the bank out of thin air, as if by magic. This process of money creation has also been called the monetization of debt, an apt term since it describes the only instance where a liability can be transformed into money, the supreme asset. It is obvious that the more money the bank creates, the more profits it will earn, for any income earned on newly created money is a pure unalloyed gain. The bank has been able to alter the conditions of the free market system in which money can be obtained only by purchase, mining or gift.
27:03In each of these routes, productive service, either one's own or one's ancestors or benefactors, was necessary in order to obtain money. The bank's inflationary intervention has created another route to money, the creation of new money out of thin air, by issuing receipts for non-existent gold. This discussion is not meant to imply that bankers, particularly at the present time, are always knowingly engaged in fraudulent practices. So embedded indeed have these practices become, and always with the sanction of law, as well as of sophisticated but fallacious economic doctrines, that it is undoubtedly a rare banker who regards his standard occupational procedure as fraudulent.
27:58D. A note on some criticisms of 100% reserve. One popular criticism of 100% bank reserves charges that the bank could not then earn any income or cover costs of storage, printing, etc. On the contrary, a bank is perfectly capable of operating like any goods warehouse, That is, by charging its customers for its services to them and reaping the usual interest return on its operations. Another popular objection is that a 100% reserve policy would eliminate all credit. How would businessman be able to borrow funds for short-term investment?
28:44The answer is that businessman can still borrow saved funds from any individual or institution. Institution. Banks may still lend their own saved funds, capital stock and accumulated surplus or they may borrow funds from individuals and relend them to business firms, earning the interest differential. Swiss banks have successfully and for a long time been issuing debentures to the public at varying maturities and banks in Belgium and Holland have recently The Borrowing Bank pays him interest for this loan, and, in turn, exchanges the money thus gathered for promises by business borrowers in exchange for the loan, and in turn, exchanges the money thus gathered for promises by business borrowers in exchange for the loan.
29:49to pay money in the future. This is a further credit transaction, in this case, the bank acting as the lender and businesses as the borrowers. The bank's income is the interest differential between the two types of credit transactions. The payment is for the services of the bank as an intermediary, channeling the savings of the public into investment. There is, furthermore, no particular reason why the short-term, more than any other credit market, should be subsidized by money creation. Finally, an important criticism of a governmentally enforced policy of 100% reserves is that this measure, though beneficial in itself, would establish a precedent for other governmental Governmental intervention in the monetary system, including a change in this very requirement by government edict.
30:50These critics advocate free banking, that is, no governmental interference with banking apart from enforcing payment of obligations, the banks to be permitted to engage in any fictitious issues they desire. Yet the free market does not mean freedom to commit fraud or any other form of theft. Quite the contrary. The criticism may be obviated by imposing a 100% reserve requirement not as an arbitrary administrative fiat of the government, but as part of the general legal defense of property against fraud. As Stanley Jevons stated, it used to be held as a general rule of law that any present grant or assignment of goods not in existence is without operation, and this general rule need only be revived and enforced to outlaw fictitious money substitutes.
31:50Then banking could be left perfectly free and yet be without departure from 100% reserves. Jevons stated, If pecuniary promises were always of a special character, there could be no possible harm in allowing perfect freedom in the issue of promissory notes. The issuer would merely constitute himself a warehouse keeper, and would be bound to to hold each special lot of coin ready to pay each corresponding note.
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Man, Economy, and State, with Power and Market
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