Environmentalism: The Triumph of Politics; D. Bandow

Increasing numbers of people are taking an interest in environmental issues in part in response to their own concerns and in part in response to social pressure-including from their children. The schools have launched what for a less politically correct goal would be called indoctrination pro grams. And the campaign seems to be work ing: The New York Times ran one story about parents who were relieved when their Doug Bandow is a Contributing Editor of The Freeman and a Senior Fellow at the Cato Insti tute. children went offto camp so they could again use styrofoam cups and toss out used plastic. The law is also playing a greater role in people's lives. An unaccountable bureau cracy in southern California, for instance, proposed banning use of lighter fluid for barbecues and prohibiting drive-in facilities. Federal agencies have essentially seized control of millionsof acres ofland arbitrarily designated as wetlands. And the Washing ton, D.C., suburb of Takoma Park employs what it euphemistically calls "recycling co ordinators" to comb through people's trash and hand out tickets-with fines ranging up to $500-for not properly sorting garbage.

In the abstract, greater attention to envi ronmental matters would seem to be a positive trend. Mter all, no one wants to breath polluted air. Noone wants to visit an Everglades that is dying or see Yellow stone's Old Faithful replaced by condomin iums. And who could not be concerned about the possibility of a warming environ ment, threatening ozone holes, and the specter of acid rain? The problem, however, is that the envi ronment has become a hostage to politics. Many environmental activists want more than a clean environment. Their commit ment to conservation and political action is religious, and their goals are often far reaching: to transform what they consider to 332 be a sick, greedy, and wasteful consumer society. As a result, many otherwise well meaning people have proved quite willingto use state power to force potentially draco nian social changes irrespective of numer ous important alternative values, including freedom, health, and prosperity.

The real political divide is not between right and left, conservative and liberal, or Republican and Democrat. Rather, it is between market process and central plan ning, the free market and command and control by the government. Most politicians believe in government solutions. They may not be consistent in the specific ways they want the state to intervene, but they like government involvement. Although liberal enthusiasm for state action is best known, conservatives, too, often want government to rearrange environmental outcomes arbi trarily. There are no more fervent support ers of irrigation projects that deliver below cost water to farmers, subsidies to promote logging on public lands, and cut-rate range fees on federal grazing land for ranchers than Republican legislators. Conservative western senators have fervently opposed selling federal lands. Where Do We Stand? Much of today's concern for new envi ronmental restrictions comes from the per ception that the sky is falling. In the view of Lester Brown of Worldwatch, for instance, we're in a "battle to save the earth's envi ronmental support systems." He worries about global warming, growing populations, disappearing species, expanding deserts, depleting topsoil, and so on. We face "the wholesale collapse of ecosystems," he claims.

Yet somehow the world seems rather less bleak than he suggests. Between 1970 and 1986, for instance, the amount of particu lates spewed into the air fell by 64 percent, carbon monoxide emissions dropped 38 per cent, and releases of volatile organic com pounds fell by 29 percent. Ocean dumping of industrial wastes was reduced 94 percent. There were 80 percent fewer cities without 333 adequate sewage treatment plants. Rivers unfit for swimming dropped 44 percent. Hazardous waste sites such as Love Canal and Times Beach now appear far less dan gerous than once thought. Cars built in 1988 produced 96 percent less carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons than those made in the early 1980s. Population continues to grow sharply in some Third World states, but these increases reflect lower infant mortality rates and longer life expectancies. Total recoverable world oil reserves grew by 400 billion barrels between 1985 and 1990.

Global warming trends may lengthen grow ing seasons. And extensive product pack aging, falsely derided as wasteful, makes Americans among the most efficienteaters on earth. The point is not that there are no envi ronmental problems. But claims of immi nent disaster are simply not supported by the facts. To the contrary, they reflect the politicization of the environment, because only claims of imminent disaster can galva nize popular support for the sort of exceed ingly harsh policy changes advocated by many people for ideological-or even reli gious-reasons. Some environmental apoc alyptics have admitted as much. Politics has infected environmental poli cymaking in two different ways. The first is to create real environmental problems. The second is to generate unfounded hysteria. Poor Environmental Stewardship For all of the enthusiasm of environmen talists for government programs, the gov ernment has proved to be a remarkably poor resource steward. Consider Uncle Sam's 191 million acres of forestland. The Wilder ness Society estimates that losses on federal timberland amounted to $400 million annu ally during the 1980s, while losses on Alas ka's Tsongass rain forest have hit 99 cents on the dollar. The problem is that the government both undertakes expensive in vestments, such as road-building in moun tainous wilderness terrain, and underprices the timber that is produced. Washington's 334 THE FREEMAN • SEPTEMBER 1993 reason for doing so is to "create" a fewjobs.

The cost, however, is both needless envi ronmental destruction and the squandering of taxpayers' money. Federal water projects and management of rangeland have consistently led to similar results. The government has expended bil lions of dollars to subsidize such influential groups as farmers and ranchers, all the while leaving environmental despoliation in its wake. In fact, the greatest threat to wetlands across the country is not private develop ment, but federal efforts like the $1.2 billion Garrison Diversion project, which de stroyed some 70,000 acres of wetlands to benefit a few thousand farmers. Nearly 90 percent of all federal water in the west is sold at heavily subsidized prices to heavily subsidized farmers. In Califor nia's San Joaquin Valley, for instance, irri gation projects typically cost $300-$500an acre foot, yet the water is marketed to farmers for less than a tenth that much even as Los Angeles and other parts of the state until recently were suffering from se vere water shortages. Only the government would subsidize the production of a water intensive crop like rice in a desert.

The federal government similarly mis manages its 307 million acres of rangeland. The Bureau of Land Management (BLM) has typically charged ranchers half of what it costs the government to administer its land, and one-tenth the rental price for comparable private lands. The BLM also spent millions of dollars "chaining" land ripping out trees to create more rangeland on which it would lose more money. Not surprisingly, federal lands are generally in poor condition-and continue to generate a flood of red ink. It is not just Uncle Sam who is to blame. Local governments have distorted the trash market, leading to pressure for a federal garbage law. Many localities have essen tially socialized trash collection and dis posal, barring any private competition which increases efficiency and innovation. Moreover, few cities charge citizens based upon how much garbage they generate, providing no incentive for people either to recycle or to change their buying habits.

(Localities that have implemented fees for each can or bag have made people more environmentally conscious without a trash Gestapo.) Political restrictions on the place ment of new landfills and construction of incinerators, both of which are quite safe with new technologies, have exacerbated the problem. But the U.S. government is the most culpable party. World Bank loans, under written by American taxpayers, have fi nanced the destruction of Brazilian rain forests; federally subsidized flood insurance has encouraged uneconomic construction on the environmentallysensitive Barrier Islands. Years of energy price controls inflamed demand and discouraged conservation. This sort of special-interest driven envi ronmental abuse is not new, and the only solution is to eliminate political malfea sance. Unfortunately, as public choice economists have so effectively pointed out, the political process tends to be biased toward taxpayer exploitation and against sound policy.

Unfounded Hysteria The second form of environmental polit icization is more recent. That is the manu facture of false crises and the exaggeration of more limited problems to achieve other ideological ends, such as banning chemi cals, closing incineration plants, and elimi nating chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). Unfor tunately, examples of this sort of problem now abound. For instance, in 1989 the Natural Re sources Defense Council (NRDC) used a public relations agency to launch a cam paign against the chemical Alar, a pesticide used on some 15 percent of apples in the United States. The charges received wide attention and demand for apples dropped dramatically-prices fell almost in half, ru ining some farmers. Yet the furor was based on one 1973 study, where mice were fed very high levels of Alar. Two recent re views, by Great Britain's Advisory Com mittee on Pesticides and the California DeENVIRONMENTALISM: THE TRIUMPH OF POLITICS 335 partment of Food and Agriculture, concluded that the risk of ingesting Alar was minimal. As Dr. Joseph Rosen of Rutgers University explained, "There was never any legitimate scientific study to justify the Alar scare."

But skillful manipulation of the media to inflame people's fears-and the enlistment of such knowledgeable environmental ex perts as Hollywood's Meryl Streep-en abled one activist group to create a crisis. The NRDC' s public relations agent later circulated a memo to other organizations describing his efforts. Indeed, pesticides have long been subject to countetfactual demagogic attacks. Natu ral pesticides-nature' s way of protecting plants-may cause cancer, and they occur in far higher quantities in at least 57 food varieties than do man-made pesticides. A National Center for Policy Analysis study estimates that the risk of getting cancer from chloroform in tap water is greater than that of getting it from pesticides in food. A person is more than three times as likely to be killed by lightning than to contract cancer from pesti cides. The risk of cancer from all pesticides in the food consumed by the average person in one day is one-twentieth of the risk from the natural carcinogens in a single cup of coffee.

Another apocalyptic vision emerged from the EPA, which in 1980claimed that acid rain, caused by sulfur dioxide emissions, had in creased the average acidity of northeast lakes one hundredfold over the last 40 years and was killingfishand trees alike. A year laterthe National Research Council predicted that the number of acidified lakes would double by 1990. So Congress included stringent provi sions to cut S02 emissions (already down 50 percent from the 1970s)at a cost of billionsof dollars annually when it re-authorized the Clean Air Act three years ago. Yet in 1987 EPA research raised doubts about the destructiveness of acid rain: A congressional firestorm forced the study's director to quit. Then came the most com plete study of acid rain ever conducted, the half billion dollar National Acid Precipita tion Assessment Project (NAPAP), which concluded that the allegedly horrific effects of acid rain were largely a myth. Among other things, the study found that lakes were on average no more acidic than before the industrial era; just 240 of 7,000 northeast lakes, most with little recreational value, were critically acidic, or "dead"; most of the acidic water was in Florida, where the rain is only one-third as acidic; there was only very limited damage to trees, far less than that evident elsewhere in the world where S02 emissions are minimal; half of the Adirondack lakes were acidified due to natural organic acids; and crops remained undamaged at acidic levels ten times present levels. In the end, NAPAP's scientists fig ured that applying lime to the few lakes that were acidic would solve the problem at a mere fraction of the cost of the Clean Air Act's acid rain provisions.

Perhaps the most famous form of the" sky is falling" claim today is global warming the so-called "Greenhouse Effect." The U.N.'s 1992 Rio summit focused on this issue. The fear is that pollution, particularly such "greenhouse gases" as carbon diox ide, will stay within the atmosphere, leading to a rise in the earth's temperature, which will create deserts, melt the polar icecaps, and flood coastal nations. In fact, warnings of global warming are not new: The theory was first advanced in the 1890s and re-emerged in the 1950s. But soon thereafter a new theory gained sway that we were entering a new Ice Age. In 1974 the U.S. National Science Board stated that "during the last 20 to 30 years, world temperature has fallen, irregularly at first but more sharply over the last decade." In the same year, Time magazine opined that "the atmosphere has been growing gradu ally cooler for the past three decades. The trend shows no indication of reversing."

Similarly, observed Dr. Murray Mitchell of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Ad ministration in 1976, "Since about 1940 there has been a distinct drop in average global temperature. It's fallen about half a degree Fahrenheit." Five years later Fred Hoyle's Ice: The Ultimate Human Catastrophe appeared, 336 THE FREEMAN • SEPTEMBER 1993 warning that a new Ice Age was long over due, and "when the ice comes, most of northern America, Britain, and northern Europe will disappear under the gla ciers. . . . The right conditions can arise within a single decade." He advocated warming the oceans to forestall this "ulti mate human catastrophe." Another two years passed and Rolling Stone magazine declared that: "For years now, climatolo gists have foreseen a trend toward colder weather-long range, to be sure, but a trend as inevitable as death.... According to [one] theory, all it would take is a singlecold summer to plunge the earth into a sudden apocalypse of ice."

A decade later we have passed into a new crisis. Climatologists like Stephen Schnei der, who two decades ago was warning of a cooling trend that looked like "one akin to the Little Ice Age," now berates the media for covering scientists who are skeptical of claims that global warming is occurring. He is, at least, refreshingly honest, admitting that "to avert the risk we need to get some broad-based support, to capture public imagination. . . . So we have to offer up some scary scenarios, make some simplified dramatic statements and little mention of any doubts one might have." And he does this precisely because the doubts about global warming are serious, so serious that both The Washington Post and Newsweek recently ran stories debunking the apocalyptic predictions of everyone from Vice President Gore to Greenpeace. Observed The Post: Scientists generally agree that it has been getting warmer over the last hundred years, but the averagerate of change is no greater than in centuries past, and there is no consensus that human activity is the cause. And while there is no doubt that continued emissions of "greenhouse gas es" tend to aid warming, it is not clear that cutting back on emissions could do much to stop a natural trend, if that is what is happening.

Indeed, a survey by Greenpeace, one of the most radical environmental organizations, of scientists involved in the Intergov ernmental Panel on Climate Change found that only 13 percent of them believed there was probably a point-of-no-retum in the future leading to a runaway greenhouse effect. Just 17 percent of climatologists in a broader Gallup poll believed that human induced warming had occurred at all, while 53 percent did not. The problems with the theory are many. First, there is no reason to assume that any change in temperature is undesirable. In fact, peoples livingin colder climates would benefit from small increases; higher temper atures at night also would likely have a positive impact. Second, the evidence does not support the contention that human activity is raising temperatures. We have seen slight warming over the last century, but 90 percent of it occurred before 1940,when greenhouse gas emissions started rising dramatically. The assumptions suggest that daytime tempera tures should rise in the northern hemi sphere, but most of the limited warming so far observed has occurred at night in the southern hemisphere. The ice caps have been growing, not shrinking. And so on.

Even those predicting a much hotter future have had to lower their forecasts over the last decade. In the end, it is obvious both that mankind, which produces just a couple percent of total CO2, has only a limited impact on the earth's climate, and that the globe has a dramatic ability to adjust. For instance, increased pollution may help shield the earth from sunlight, counteracting any temperature increase. Higher tempera tures at the poles actually allow more pr~ cipitation. Since serious warming could cause serious damage, there is cause to monitor changes in climate, but not yet to implement the sort of draconian changes demanded by the greenhouse crowd. The ozone issue has been similarly polit icized. The fear is that chlorofluorocarbons are thinning atmospheric ozone, allowing in more ultraviolet (UV) rays. In January 1992 a Harvard University chemist, James Anderson, held a press conference warning of a "hole" in the ozone in the so-called ENVIRONMENTALISM: THE TRIUMPH OF POLITICS 337 polar vortex, the upper atmosphere over New England and Canada. His claims were based on the initial findings from a scientific ex pedition monitoring atmospheric conditions and received wide attention. Yet four months later he was forced to admit that "the dreaded ozone hole never materialized." I A decade ago apocalyptic environmental ists were warning of a reduction of 18 percent in ozone levels. Today the predictions are down to two to four percent. Even if these forecasts are borne out, the impact may not be dramatic: It would be like moving roughly 60 miles south, from Palm Beach to Miami in Florida. And, oddly, UV radiation levels have dropped over the last decade, even as the ozone layer was supposedly thinning.

Moreover, there is some question as to whether CFC's-inexpensive, safe chemi cals that have no obvious replacement-are really villainous destroyers of ozone after other factors are taken into account. Such things as ocean salt spray may help coun teract increasing CFC levels. Explains Dr. Melvyn Shapiro of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in making their claims even many atmospheric chemists "have little regard for the impact of atmo spheric variabilityon chemicalprocesses. " In fact, the higher levels of chlorine monoxide detected in January did not create an ozone hole because temperatures were higher than expected. Population growth has been cited as an impending disaster for nearly two centuries. Recent apocalyptics include Paul Ehrlich of Stanford University, who predicted mass famine and death in the 1970s, and former World Bank President Robert McNamara, who went so far as to compare the threat of population pressure to that of nuclear war.

Their argument is simple: More people mean the use of more resources and more waste. The end result is lower incomes and disaster. This apocalyptic scenario ignores the fact that some part of the population "explo sion" is short term, since infant mortality rates have fallen more swiftly than have fertility rates. Moreover, people normally produce more than they consume-otherwise even one person would be too many. Further, fears of population growth assume a static view of the world, that economics is a zero-sum game. Yet the market naturally adjusts as the number of people and demand for goods and services increase; technolog ical innovation and behavioral changes work together to allow better and more efficient resource use. In practice we see no adverse relationship between population or population density and economic growth. Population density is very high in such places as Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan, yet their economies have grown faster. The population of the Netherlands is 50 percent denser than India, Great Britain's is twice as dense as that of Thailand, and South Korea possesses less territory but twice the population of North Korea. In all of these cases the more pop ulated states have achieved much higher levels of development.

The issue of population growth, then, is a red herring. The central issue is economic growth. The most important means of ad aptation is the marketplace: If governments prevent people from freely producing goods and services, charging prices that reflect changing resource values, and responding to diverse human needs, then worsening pov erty will result. Third World countries are impoverished not because they are popu lous, but because their governments have enforced anti-capitalistic economic policies. Related to the supposed problem of too many people is that of too few resources. Such reports as the Club of Rome's 1972 Limits to Growth and the Carter Adminis tration's 1980Global 2000 predicted that we would soon run out of key resources. In deed, much of the Carter energy program was predicated on the assumption that we would soon run out of fossil fuels. (Since oil was first discovered in the United States 130 years ago people have been predicting that reserves would soon be depleted.) The Club of Rome, which imagined the imminent exhaustion of such resources as gold, lead, and zinc, has already been proved wrong. Even more significant, how ever, is the fact that real resource prices fell 338 THE FREEMAN • SEPTEMBER 1993 consistently throughout the 1980s. Accord ing to Stephen Moore, in a study for the Institute for Policy Innovation, "of 38 nat ural resources examined in this study, 34 declined in real price" between 1980 and 1990. Prices for two remained constant, while only the cost of manganese and zinc rose. Moore found that American and inter national prices of food, energy, timber, and minerals, for instance, all fell.

Again, the doomsayers have ignored the powerful adjustment process that occurs through the marketplace. As goods become scarcer, prices rise, encouraging entrepre neurs to locate new supplies, manufacture synthetic equivalents, find substitutes, use products more efficiently, and reduce con sumption. As long as prices can rise freely, the market will ensure that shortages will not occur. The fact that real resource prices fell during the 1980s indicates that relative scarcity has not increased but decreased. Apocalyptic predictions regarding a num ber of other issues, such as toxic wastes and desertification, have proved to be equally flawed. The point is not that there are no environmental problems, but rather that environmental issues tend to be quite com plex and that one should not make long-run predictions based on short-term trends. Un fortunately, many activists are willing to distort the facts because they have either political or religious reasons for proclaiming that disaster is imminent.

The New Theology The environment has become as much a spiritual as a political issue for some people. Many churches now recycle products, in stall solar power, and pray for endangered animal species. Moreover, religious leaders who once busily promoted social and eco nomic "justice" are now turning to ecolog ical concerns. Global warming "is a spiritual issue, not just a technical problem," ex plained Bruce McLeod, president of the Canadian Council of Churches, after his organization endorsed the U.N. 's World Climate Convention last year. Indeed, a variety of religious environmental organizations have formed-the North American Coalition on Religion and Ecol ogy (NACRE), Religion and Science for the Environment, and the Presbyterian Eco Justice Task Force, for instance. The 1990 NACRE Intercontinental Conference on Caring for Creation presented a Liturgy for the Earth, in which "Mother Earth" spoke to her "children."

Much church activism is based on false scientific theories, such as global warming. More significant, however, is the theological contamination from much of the new con servation ethic. Christianity and Judaism hold man to be a steward of the earth, which King David declared to be "the Lord's, and everything in it" (Psalm 24:1). Because man thereby "subdues" or exercises dominion over the planet (Genesis 1:28), many envi ronmentalists view these faiths as largely responsible for the plight of the earth today. Historian Lynn White, for one, has criti cized Christianity for being "the most an thropocentric religion the world has ever seen." He further argued that "since the roots of our [environmental] trouble are so largely religious, the remedy must also be essentially religious." Many other environ mentalists have made similar charges. Strangely, some churchmen seem to agree. James Nash, Executive Director of the Churches' Center for Theology and Public Policy, writes that "without doubt, Christian traditions bear some responsibil ity for propagating" destructive environ mental perspectives. Thus, "for the Chris tian churches," he argues, "the ecological crisis is more than a biophysical challenge.

It is also a theological-ethical challenge." The obvious solution, then, is to make Christianity "green." We now have a sim ilarly minded ecologian in the White House. "Both conservative and liberal theologians have every reason, scriptural as well as ideological, to define their spiritual mission in a way that prominently includes the defense of God's creation," argues Vice President Gore in his apocalyptic book, Earth in the Balance. But some environmentalists go further, turning ecology into a separate religion by ENVIRONMENTALISM: THE TRIUMPH OF POLITICS 339 mixing ancient and modern forms of pan theism. John Muir and a host of other early environmentalists experimented with differ ent forms of Earth and nature worship. More recently, environmentalism hasjoined New Age thinking to produce a vibrant Neo-Pagan movement, including such prac tices as witchcraft, which has always had a heavy ecological emphasis, and goddess (Earth) worship. Moreover, explains Lesly Phillips, "the growing awareness of the urgent need to honor and heal Mother Earth has drawn many Unitarian Universalists to a contemporary pagan approach to reli gion."

Another religious strand is deep ecology, which treats the planet as sacred. Philoso phy professors Bill Devall and George Ses sions advocate "the revival of Earth bonding rituals.' , Some deep ecologists even support the use of violence to protect their "god." Dave Foreman, co-founder of Earth First! and later convicted of attempt ing to blow up power pylons for an Arizona nuclear plant, explains that so-called eco terrorism is "a form of worship toward the earth. " He has also advocated allowing the poor in third world countries to starve, "to just let nature seek its own balance." The new eco-spiritualism does more than threaten traditional faiths, which are being pressed to accept doctrines contrary their basic tenets. More broadly, treating the earth as sacred distorts public policy. Our objective should be to balance environmen tal preservation with economic growth and personal freedom, and to rely on market forces to make any environmental controls as efficient and as flexible as possible. Un fortunately, however, treating the environ ment as a goddess has caused environmental activists to advance the most frightening theories, irrespective of the evidence, and demand the most draconian controls possi ble, irrespective of the cost.

The Reds and the Greens Many other environmentalists have radi cal philosophical rather than theological agendas. Most of the activists are implicitly anti-capitalist, anti-profit, and, frankly, anti freedom, since it is people acting freely that leads, in some conservationists' views, to consumerism, greed, pollution, and waste. In fact, it has beenjokingly said that the only remaining socialists in the world are in the environmental movement, since they are promoting a centrally planned system based on government command-and-control regu lation. The Reds have been replaced by the Greens. The problem is not so much the motives of such activists, but the fact that their ideological biases lead them to ignore evi dence questioning the genuineness of al leged environmental problems and to refuse to make compromises in drafting solutions to real concerns. While a doctrinal environ mentalist might be happy with the policy result for religious or philosophical reasons, it is foolish for the rest of us to waste resources on non-problems and on unnec essarily inefficient cleanup strategies.

Environmental protection is important, and good people can disagree on the best policies to adopt. But today the public discussion over conservation is being dis torted by politics and pagan theology, mak ing the American public poorer and less free and the environment dirtier. We need to look for private strategies to protect the environment. Privatizing federal timber and rangeland, for instance, would end subsidized development, since no pri vate individual or company would willingly turn a dollar investment into a few cents in revenue. Establishing full private property rights in water would help conserve this precious resource in the western United States. We need to develop equally creative solutions for such "common pool" prob lems as air and water pollution. In short, we need to depoliticize the environment, mak ing the issue one of balancing competing interests rather than imposing ideological or religious dogmas. If we succeed in doing so, we will end up with not only a cleaner society, but also a wealthier and freer o~. D THEFREEMAN IDEASON LIBERTY LINKING LIBERTY, ECONOMY,AND ECOLOGY by John A. Baden and Robert Ethier M uch environmental writing is marked by a profound disregard, even hostil ity, toward property rights and individual liberty. Self-interest is an evil to be combat ted. And markets, at best, provide mecha nisms for people to express their self interest in ways injurious to the earth.